2023/24 Bundesliga 2 permutations: Who can be promoted? Who can be relegated?
Holstein Kiel are up and St. Pauli are on the cusp, Hamburg can no longer catch Fortuna Düsseldorf, and who will join Osnabrück in going down? bundesliga.com runs you through the Matchday 33 permutations in Germany's second division…
Predict the remaining matches and see how they would impact the table
Promotion
Holstein Kiel drew with Fortuna Düsseldorf on Saturday, a result which confirmed their spot in the top flight next season.
They will be confirmed as champions on Matchday 34 if:
- Pauli fail to beat Osnabrück on Matchday 33 and Kiel beat Hannover on the final day.
Watch: Kiel's draw with Düsseldorf and subsequent promotion celebrations
Third place/play-off spot
Both Kiel and Pauli were already assured of a top-three finish and therefore at least a crack at the play-off.
Düsseldorf are now also guaranteed at least a shot at the play-off after Hamburg in fourth lost in Paderborn on Friday night and will now spend another year in the second tier.
Read more about the promotion race here
Watch: Düsseldorf beat Nuremberg to keep their automatic promotion hopes alive
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Relegation
Osnabrück's Matchday 32 fixture against Schalke was postponed until the following Tuesday, with defeat meaning an immediate return to the 3. Liga a year after their promotion. They are six points adrift at the bottom and with a much worse goal difference, meaning they will likely finish the season in 18th.
Hansa Rostock in 17th are four points away from outright safety. After losing to Schalke on Saturday, they will be relegated if:
- Wiesbaden win in Braunschweig on Sunday
Safety
All teams placed 12th (Nuremberg) and above are safe. The rest are all at risk, with only seven points separating Magdeburg in 13th and Rostock in 17th.
Magdeburg will be safe if:
- Wehen Wiesbaden fail to win at Eintracht Braunschweig on Sunday
- both Kaiserslautern (at Hertha Berlin on Saturday) and Braunschweig both lose (since they play each other on the final day)
Kaiserslautern in 14th on 36 points lost at Hertha but will still be safe if:
- Wiesbaden lose and Rostock fail to win
Eintracht Braunschweig in 15th on 35 points are safe if:
- They beat Wiesbaden on Sunday
Wiesbaden in 16th on 32 points can no longer be automatically relegated if:
- They win in Braunschweig
Read more about promotion and relegation in Germany
Related news
Matchday 33 overview
Kiel secured promotion with a draw against third-placed Düsseldorf, before Pauli go in search of a promotion-winning result against relegated Osnabrück...
Bundesliga 2 promotion race
Kiel have done it, Pauli could join them, but Hamburg can no longer be promoted...
Kiel promoted to the Bundesliga for first time!
Kiel will play Bundesliga football for the very first time next season, after securing promotion with a 1-1 draw against Fortuna Düsseldorf.